While energy demand is down globally – by approximately 5% in 2020, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) – renewable energy rollout will continue to grow this year, and nowhere is that more true than in Vietnam, which is undergoing an offshore-wind bonanza.
Shifts in regional supply chains that began as a trade war between the United States and China are being hastened this year by the coronavirus pandemic. Broadly speaking, this will result in slowdown in offshoring to China and a redistribution of manufacturing foreign direct investment (FDI) to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).
As multinationals look to diversify their supply chains and manufacturing facilities out of China, foreign investment in ASEAN is expected to accelerate. The industrial real estate sector should see strong growth across the region, particularly in Vietnam, where the supply of ready-built factories and warehouses is expected to increase by over 25 percent this year.
Vietnam has managed to contain COVID-19, lifting social isolation measures and reopening the economy, allowing businesses to resume.
COVID-19 has slowed global trade and disrupted supply chains, starting in China – the “factory of the world” – and resulting in a ripple effect as businesses struggle to source raw inputs. This has had short-term impacts on Vietnam, like everywhere else, but the country is strongly positioned for a rebound as economies restart.
After years of strong growth, the renewable energy sector is set to take a breather – and likely into next year. Immediate demand for energy has collapsed, oil prices have fallen in tandem and capital markets are in turmoil and therefore unlikely to support capital intensive projects.
Indonesia confirmed its first Covid-19 case on March 2 and now has the highest fatality toll from the disease in Southeast Asia – and second only to China in Asia – meaning the country now faces its biggest political and economic challenge since the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis.
As Covid-19 dominates global headlines, it is easy to lose track of other news and developments. Here are some of the issues that Access Asia Group has been following in Southeast Asia under the shadow of Covid-19.
It is too soon to say whether Vietnam – or indeed anywhere – has dodged the covid-19 bullet. But, in terms of infection caseloads, the nation of some 90 million is containing numbers better than anywhere in the region on a per-capita basis.
Tensions continue to simmer in the South China Sea as Covid-19, or ‘the coronavirus’ remains headline news. Will the viral outbreak drive the region closer together or farther apart? Either way, it’s possible that Vietnam stands the most to gain.